Weighted share of current work under direct task pressure.
V2.1
Job Transformation Model
How AI reshapes your work over time
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Type to search, or scroll the list to find your closest mapped occupation.
Matching occupations
No occupation selected yet.
Optional: choose the closest reviewed version of this occupation
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Role refinement
Use this if your role is more senior, more regulated, or simply differs from the default occupation profile.
Current role-refinement readout
Answer the core questions to see whether this version of the role keeps more human-owned function, more sign-off, or more substitution pressure.
Function retention
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Human sign-off
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Workflow decomposability
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Adoption readiness
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Substitution pressure
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All questions
Answer only the ones that feel clearly wrong under the default occupation profile. Leaving the defaults in place is fine.
Task & function editor Optional. Edit only what is wrong. The default role mix is already loaded from the occupation.
Edit only what is wrong
Tasks and functions that define your current role
Select an occupation to load the role breakdown the model will score.
We start with baseline tasks from O*NET, add reviewed tasks from public postings and role review, then keep the main functions that define why the role exists. You can edit that mix before scoring.
1. Tasks
These are the concrete asks that make up your role.
2. Support links
Use these only when one selected task mostly exists to enable another selected task.
3. Functions
These are the higher-level outcomes or responsibilities the role is there to deliver.
Hidden graph editor
Experimental graph editor
The list editor is now the primary workflow. The graph editor remains hidden from the main page.
Drag nodes to reorganize the map. Drag from a task handle into another task or a function to create links.
Edit only what is wrong
Tasks and functions that define your current role
The default role mix is already loaded from the occupation. Remove only what does not belong to you, then add missing tasks or functions.
Tasks from O*NET
Tasks added from public job postings
Tasks added during role review
Value-defining functions
Optional support links Click to open. Only use this if one selected task mainly exists to support another and the default graph misses that link.
Tasks already connect directly to the functions they serve. Add a support link only when one selected task mostly exists to enable another selected task and the default dependency graph misses that connection.
Structural state analysis will appear once the role is scored.
Work that weakens because adjacent tasks compress first.
The buildout share expected to be materially transformed within five years.
The work that still anchors the seat after pressure is applied.
Structural state forecast
Mostly intact
Changed but retained
Downside risk (compression & displacement pressures)
Five-year read
These are the main outputs for the next five years, paired with the full five-state-share forecast for the same horizon.
Full 5-state-share forecast
Retained
Complemented
Compressed
Rebundled
Displaced
Retained: The role still looks mostly like today’s job.
Complemented: AI changes the work, but the seat remains viable and human-led.
Compressed: More of the work is done by AI, narrowing the role and increasing downside pressure.
Rebundled: The role survives by shifting toward a different mix of tasks and responsibilities.
Displaced: The model sees a real path where the seat itself stops holding together.
Timing ranges
These ranges show when the model expects visible change thresholds to clear under slower, baseline, and faster buildout paths.
Noticeable change
When AI-related change becomes visibly material in the role.
Baseline: -
Range: -
Role restructuring
When enough work has shifted that the role starts to change shape.
Baseline: -
Range: -
Major transformation
When the role reads as deeply changed rather than partially adjusted.
Baseline: -
Range: -
Task pressure map
Task-level overview for your role. Edit the axes to see various metric measurements for your tasks.
Zoom
Safe
Contested
Residual
Exposed
Retained leverage
Direct exposure pressure
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Select a task
Hover or tap a bubble to inspect the task.
Tasks: -
Direct evidence: -
How we analyze your role
Built from your role: three layers that explain the outcome above.
01
Function anchors
These functions are the responsibilities the role owns, independent of the tasks that may change.
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Task mix
These tasks will appear once the role has a mapped task mix.
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How the model works
The model scores task pressure and retained leverage, lets pressure travel through linked work, and then checks whether the role still holds durable responsibilities.
What is setting the state
These are the strongest conditions currently pushing the role toward complement, compression, or bottleneck fragility.
Why the timing looks this way
The graph above is the main timing read. Open this only to inspect the activation model behind it.
Inspect timing model
Open the frontier, wave, and trigger detail
Capability readiness, activation, and bundle-level blockers stay here by default.
Current wave
Capabilities already present in commercial tools.
Next wave
Better agents and workflow integration change more of the seat.
Distant wave
Broader organizational rewiring is what unlocks this layer.
Timing frontier
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Binding constraint
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Current activation
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Next activation
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Distant activation
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Adoption ceiling
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Bundles setting the timing
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Current wave
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Next wave
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Distant wave
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Transition triggers
These thresholds show what still has to break before AI pressure turns into actual seat change. The highlighted card marks the threshold most likely to determine the seat-level turn, not always the earliest helper threshold.
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Occupation landscape
0-10 year default paths
Each row shows the dominant occupational state at each year from 0 to 10 using reviewed default questionnaire settings at Level 3 default.
Retained
Complemented
Compressed
Rebundled
Displaced
The occupation forecast matrix appears once the role is scored.
Diagnostic map
Zoom
Building the diagnostic map…
The default view compares direct task pressure against retained bargaining leverage using the same comparison hierarchy and slider assumptions as the occupation table above.
Anchored
Contested
Residual
Exposed
Direct task pressure
Bargaining leverage
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